TICKETS TO CHALLENGE PRESIDENT TINUBU

Potential Tickets to Challenge President Tinubu in 2027

Based on current political dynamics, here is my assessment of possible opposition pairings and their projected regional strength.

1. Atiku Abubakar (North East) & Peter Obi (South East)

Analysis: A formidable but complicated alliance. Obi's inclusion could split the Southeast vote due to loyalists preferring him at the top of the ticket.

· Projected Support:

  · North East: 60%

  · North Central: 30%

  · South East: 50%

  · South South: 20%

  · South West: 10%

  · North West: 40%

2. Peter Obi (South East) & Nasir el-Rufai (North West)

Analysis: An unlikely and polarizing ticket. El-Rufai's perceived influence in the North is offset by significant antipathy towards him in the South.

· Projected Support:

  · South East: 70%

  · North West: 60%

  · North Central: 30%

  · South South: 20%

  · South West: 20%

3. Atiku Abubakar (North East) & Rotimi Amaechi (South South)

Analysis: Not a winning combination. Lacks broad regional appeal and fails to galvanize key voting blocs.

· Projected Support:

  · North: 60%

  · South South: 30% (Amaechi's base)

  · South West: 20%

  · South East: 10%

  · North Central: 10%

4. Peter Obi (South East) & Rabiu Kwankwaso (North West)

Analysis: A ticket with strong potential. Unites significant bases in the Southeast and Northwest, appealing to urban youth and populist voters across regions.

· Projected Support:

  · South East: 80%

  · North West: 60%

  · South South: 50%

  · North Central: 40%

  · South West: 30%

5. Goodluck Jonathan (South South) & Rabiu Kwankwaso (North West)

Analysis: A theoretically powerful "unity ticket." Could resonate as a national balancing act, drawing sympathy and broad-based support.

· Projected Support:

  · South South: 80%

  · North West: 70%

  · North Central: 60%

  · South East: 50%

  · South West: 40%

President Bola Tinubu remains a formidable incumbent and a master political strategist. The current movements within opposition parties like the PDP and others appear fragmented. Creed (self-interest and ambition) often prevents them from presenting the most electable candidate.

Until the opposition settles its internal conflicts and unites behind a strategic, nationally acceptable ticket, President Tinubu is the clear favorite to win the 2027 election. Without this unity, the post-election season may well be a repeat of legal battles and lamentations.

Oyugbo Osagie Jonah 

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